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Tuesday, September 30, 2014

All Blacks Side to Win the 2015 Rugby World Cup?


It's a year to the day that the All Blacks book their place in the quarterfinals of the 2015 Rugby World Cup in England.

As it stands, the All Blacks, the current world and Rugby Championship champions, are again the favourites for the World Cup although it seems as though the likes of England, South Africa, Australia and Argentina are catching up quickly.

Indeed, at this rate of progress, England, South Africa, Australia and Argentina should expect to peak nicely in autumn next year when the tournament comes around.

So if there were no injuries, who should be in the All Blacks side to defend the world crown in under 365 days?

My tips -
Props - Owen Franks, Ben Franks, Wyatt Crockett, Joe Moody
Hookers - Dane Coles, Keven Mealamu, Nathan Harris
Locks - Brodie Retallick, Sam Whitelock, Jeremy Thrush, Steven Luatua
Loose forwards - Richie McCaw (captain), Kieran Read, Jerome Kaino, Liam Messam, Sam Cane
Halfbacks - Aaron Smith, TJ Perenara, Tawera Kerr-Barlow
First fives - Beauden Barrett, Aaron Cruden, Dan Carter
Centres - Ma'a Nonu, Conrad Smith, Malakai Fekitoa, Sonny Bill Williams
Outside backs - Ben Smith, Israel Dagg, Julian Savea, Charles Piutau

Tuesday, September 23, 2014

What is Wrong with Wellington?

Make no mistake, the Lions are in a big hole.

With 3 games left in the season, Wellington finds itself rock bottom of the ITM Cup Premiership on 2 points, 7 behind 6th place Counties Manukau who they next play at Pukekohe in what is rugby's version of a relegation six-pointer.

It is an alarming turn of form from last year when the Lions hunted down all asunder and finished top of the table to host the Final, only to lose it again to Canterbury.

Defeat to Counties will likely condemn the Lions to the Championship even if they win their last three games against Taranaki and Championship opposition, Hawkes Bay and North Harbour. Even so, while a win against North Harbour at home in their last game should be a regulation 4 points, Hawkes Bay look like Premiership material this season and with the Shield on the line at home, will be tough to beat especially for a Lions side with zero confidence, and Taranaki are in good form as well and looking to book a top 4 spot.

Perhaps, the signs were there in the off-season when the likes of key playmaker, Lima Sopoaga departed for Southland - the Lions have fielded 5 first-fives in the wake of his departure including seasoned journeymen, Riki Flutey and Willie Ripia. Then, there was Chris Boyd's appointment as head coach of the Hurricanes from 2015 - while Boyd is still head coach of Wellington, preparation for the 2015 Super Rugby season must surely be a big distraction and perhaps Boyd's usually meticulous eyes aren't on the ball this season?

Even so, there is still plenty of talent in this Wellington ITM Cup side with plenty of Super Rugby and even All Blacks experience, e.g. Victor Vito, Ardie Savea, Jeff Toomaga-Allen, Shaun Treeby, Jason Woodward, John Schwalger, etc. Many of this side were key to Wellington's rise to the top of the ITM Cup last season too so this sudden loss of form is baffling to see.

Perhaps it is a testament to the competitiveness of all 14 ITM Cup unions that last season's frontrunners are at the back of the pack this season - look at the likes of Tasman who were just promoted last season. At the same time, Counties Manukau, one of the surprise packages last season, are struggling a bit this season.

Indeed, it is a testament to the nature of provincial rugby that perhaps it may not be surprising to see four former heavyweights of provincial rugby in the Championship next season, i.e. Otago, Southland, Manawatu and Wellington.

Sunday, September 14, 2014

Get The Crowds Back to the Rugby!

Israel Folau wrestles an Argie in front of a pathetic crowd at Gold Coast last night

It is a bit like chronic pain syndrome - the pain is clear and evident yet it is part of every day life that it seems now pointless to find a cure for it.

Crowds at the rugby are lower than they have been historically. Yes, the stadia nowadays no longer have terracing as they did say 25 years ago meaning that ground capacity has decreased for the sake of spectator safety and comfort, but even so, it is quite clear to see the empty seats and stands at even our most high profile rugby matches.

In New Zealand, All Blacks tests continue to fill grounds - Napier's McLean Park sold out obviously boosted by the novelty of hosting the All Blacks for only the 2nd time in its history, but the crowd at last night's game against the Springboks in Wellington will probably be the best that Westpac Stadium will get this year.

Count the empty seats at Westpac Stadium

Super Rugby games are doing ok although much more could be done to get average crowd numbers up. However, crowds for ITM Cup games are at a critical level particularly in Auckland and Wellington, although in the provinces, the crowd attendance figures could be better - the crowd at McLean Park for the first shield defence against Otago was in my opinion, much lower than I expected given the excitement following Hawkes Bay's success of taking the shield from Counties Manukau. The temporary stand erected for the All Blacks test probably could have been taken down after the test with only a handful of people seated there for Sunday afternoon's shield defence.

At least, the situation is not as bad as it is across the Tasman. The Wallabies only got 11,000 for their Rugby Championship match against Argentina on the Gold Coast. Earlier in the season, the Wallabies played France to a 6-0 win in front of a small crowd of 27,189 at the 56,347 capacity Etihad Stadium in Melbourne - probably a worse result for organizers given that the Etihad is much bigger than Robina Park on the Gold Coast, and given that Melbourne is the 2nd largest market in Australia. The crowd was also pretty pitiful for the Wallabies' game against South Africa at Patersons Stadium in Perth.

If it weren't for rugby's renaissance in its heartland of Sydney on the back of the Waratahs' success, Australian rugby would be in pretty dire straits - in a season where the Wallabies have shown signs of regeneration with their young side.

While professionalism and TV money has been a huge positive for rugby, the element of choice has meant that today's generation of rugby fans would probably pick sitting at a pub or in their lounge watching the rugby on Sky on a damp, cold winter's day, when 20 years ago, supporting your province meant your only option was going to the ground.

Scheduling to cater for TV appears to not be a good thing for getting crowds to games - Spanish football authorities are currently scheduling La Liga games for TV purposes and outside Madrid and Barcelona, crowd numbers have definitely taken a hit especially when games are scheduled late at night.

It has been mentioned many times by this blogger that rugby could take the lead of the NFL and consider regional TV blackouts to get crowds back to games - indeed, this has become an incentive for NFL teams to promote and sell their games so that they avoid their game being blacked out in their home market and thus lose TV revenue. However, this is impractical given the way that Sky and Fox TV are shown nationally rather than regionally.

Perhaps, the other solution is to make gate prices cheaper - the rugby unions have said that TV revenue is their main income earner and gate tickets are secondary to that income, so they can afford to slash prices. At the same time, they might look at Twenty20 and improve the entertainment package. After all, sport is now a form of entertainment and families look for more than just the sport nowadays for a night out.

As for the Wallabies, perhaps there needs to be a bit more of a positive spin by the rugby union towards the national side - for so long, a negative air has lingered over the green and gold which has over time, eroded its fan base and let them go to rugby league, AFL and even soccer. Now that Ewen McKenzie is doing the goods with the Wallabies, the ARU needs to take this opportunity and get the crowds back to test matches.

On the other hand, the national union could pose an ultimatum and host all tests in Sydney or Brisbane for a few years until the other cities can prove that they can get good crowds for the tests.

While we love seeing Australia lose, we do need a strong, competitive rival in the Wallabies and seeing the pitiful crowds for test rugby is not good for the game.





Wednesday, September 3, 2014

All Blacks Side to Face Pumas in Napier?

The Rugby Championship resumes this weekend after a one week break, with the All Blacks playing in Napier for the first time since 1996.

Preparations though have been rocked slightly with the news that Aaron Cruden will miss this Saturday's game - giving Beauden Barrett a chance to start at first five for once. Cruden's departure - and forecast inclement weather conditions for the game - may very well open the door for Israel Dagg to return with his big kicking boot and defence into the lineup at fullback, with Ben Smith shifted to right wing ahead of the quiet but dependable Cory Jane.

On the bright side, Ma'a Nonu and Jerome Kaino should be back in the squad after recovering from injuries sustained in Sydney.

So, it should be as you were before -

1.Wyatt Crockett
2.Dane Coles
3.Owen Franks
4.Brodie Retallick
5.Sam Whitelock
6.Jerome Kaino
7.Richie McCaw
8.Kieran Read
9.Aaron Smith
10.Beauden Barrett
11.Julian Savea
12.Ma'a Nonu
13.Conrad Smith
14.Ben Smith
15.Israel Dagg

16.Keven Mealamu
17.Ben Franks
18.Charlie Faumuina
19.Steven Luatua
20.Sam Cane
21.TJ Perenara
22.Colin Slade
23.Malakai Fekitoa

Tuesday, September 2, 2014

Manchester United Doomed by Its Success?

Photo courtesy of Man Utd via Getty Images
The summer transfer window of 2014 came to a dramatic close at 11pm on Monday, 1 September 2014 with Manchester United finishing off strongly after a slow start by pulling off the surprise coup of the summer - the loan signing of Colombian striker Radamel Falcao from Monaco for the season.

Falcao, who is just recovering from a serious knee injury which curtailed his involvement with Colombia in the World Cup, is regarded as one of the best strikers in world football and was set for Real Madrid - a tweet hinted that his "dream" transfer to Real Madrid was certain until it was revealed that the tweet was fake.

Alas, Falcao's "dream" transfer was to Old Trafford and Manchester United's boot room which is already crammed with strikers and attacking players with defenders and central midfielders of note nowhere to be seen.

Indeed, experts and even avid followers of the Red Devils are still scratching their head at the sense of this highly expensive move - Falcao is set to earn 6-figures a week - with United already boasting Robin van Persie, Wayne Rooney, Juan Mata and Angel di Maria in attack.

For all of United's attacking potential, it will remain only as potential with the current midfield and defence. Supply to the frontmen was a problem with Rooney forced to forage deeper and Robin van Persie losing confidence towards the end of the season starved of the ball.

Marcos Rojo and Daley Blind are good signings but they are defenders who can forage down the flanks - although Blind can play as a defensive midfielder. Central defence hasn't been fixed and will remain a problem even if United can score goals. Anders Herrera will need time to bed in once he's fit, but by that time, the pressure will be right on him - and we saw what pressure did to Marouane Fellaini last season.

The fact is, I doubt Sir Alex Ferguson would have signed Radamel Falcao given the problems elsewhere in the team and the decision was one made by Ed Woodward to appease Louis van Gaal and to keep his head above the discontent at his leadership which has been questionable since he took over from David Gill.

The fact is, the signings of Juan Mata, Radamel Falcao and Angel di Maria were partly made for commercial reasons - big signings for a big club - without real thought into addressing the weaknesses in the team. Even the appointment of Louis van Gaal was made based on reputation - yes he has achieved much in his long coaching career, but I still have my doubts that van Gaal's coaching style suits the Manchester United culture.

The fact is, Manchester United's successes on the field have made it such a commercially successful brand - and an entity on the stock exchange - that football matters now compete with commercial matters often to the detriment of the team.

Perhaps it is no wonder that Ferguson packed up his box before seeing the light.

For Liverpool and Manchester City fans, they can continue to smile with glee as they watch the former giants drown in their own wealth. But for United fans, more despair is ahead unless those in the club's boardrooms get back to footballing matters.


Monday, September 1, 2014

Oops! Ruffier Day at the Office!

Goalkeepers have a tough job - any mistake they make often results in a goal in the back of the net.

However, there are times when they are asking for trouble as St-Etienne's Stephane Ruffier found out at his cost when his side took on French giants, Paris Saint-Germain at the Parc des Princes on Sunday night.


C'est fait accompli as they in France! Oh well, while we're at it, here's another absolute beauty, I mean ugly duckling from another keeper!