Breakdown - RWC 2011 Semifinals

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Quick breakdown of the 2 RWC2011 semifinals this weekend though since I have run out of work at work (done the windup of Australian colleagues dash).

Wales v France -
France may have the experience of playing at this stage of the Rugby World Cup that the Welsh don't but experience counts for nothing if you don't have the quality - France were awful the last time they played a semifinal in the Rugby World Cup.

Wales will feel they can beat France anywhere and have the personnel to match and beat the French. IMO Warburton has an extra ability that Dusautoir doesn't have - the ability to carry the ball.

James Hook was once hailed by many as Wales' greatest talent but it hasn't quite turned out as many would have liked. Just like South Africa's Francois Steyn, Hook has been shuffled between fullback, first-five, centre, etc. However, his talent is undeniable as is his ability to direct games. He also offers a bit of experience where Priestland lacked. And if all else fails, bring on the experienced and solid Stephen Jones off the bench. Another edge to Wales.

Elsewhere it is quite even - tight forwards, backs. It now comes down to who plays with that extra percentage on Saturday night.

Wales are playing like they did when they won the Grand Slam in 2005 and 2008. They've also got home knowledge courtesy of their Kiwi coach, Warren Gatland who knows New Zealand spring time conditions from the back of his hand.

Wales by 5.

New Zealand v Australia -
The most overanalysed, hyped up game in recent New Zealand rugby history. On paper, the NZ forwards clearly have the edge of their Australian counterparts. It's whether they choose to exercise that physicality - when they don't as we saw in Brisbane, they were cannon fodder for the Australians. Perhaps Pocock may have the edge over an aging McCaw but McCaw does have an in-form Kaino and Read to back him up, while Pocock only really has Elsom.

Then there's the centres, Nonu and Smith who should have it over their Australian counterparts, McCabe and Faainga (well really depends if Beale plays too!).

New Zealand are at home at Eden Park, a place where they have the best test record. And then there's the sellout crowd probably dressed in black. Kiwis also play with passion and pride when they're surrounded by an equally passionate crowd.

NZ by 3.